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Revisiting the Great Ratios Hypothesis*

Published version

Published version
Peer-reviewed

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Change log

Authors

Chudik, A 
Pesaran, MH 

Abstract

jats:pKaldor called the constancy of certain ratios stylized facts, Klein and Kosobud called them great ratios. While they often appear in theoretical models, the empirical literature finds little evidence for them, perhaps because the procedures used cannot deal with lack of co‐integration, two‐way causality, and cross‐country error dependence. We propose a new system pooled mean group estimator that can deal with these features. Monte Carlo results show it performs well compared with other estimators, and using it on a dataset over 150 years and 17 countries, we find support for five of the seven ratios considered.</jats:p>

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Keywords

38 Economics, 3802 Econometrics

Journal Title

Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

0305-9049
1468-0084

Volume Title

Publisher

Wiley