Assessing delimiting strategies to identify the infested zones of quarantine plant pests and diseases.

Abstract

Following the discovery of a quarantine plant pest or disease, delimitation is urgently conducted to define the boundaries of the infested area, typically through surveys that detect the presence or absence of the pest. Swift and accurate delimitation is crucial after a pest or pathogen enters a new region for containment or eradication. Delimiting an area that is too small allows the pest to spread uncontrollably, while delimited areas that are too large can lead to excessive economic costs, making eradication cost-prohibitive. Despite its significance, there is a lack of comprehensive reviews on delimiting strategies and their effectiveness in managing plant pests; many current practices are ad-hoc and not scientifically based. In this study, we used an individual-based model to simulate the spread of Huanglongbing (citrus greening), a priority EU pest, and evaluated three delimiting strategies across various host distribution landscapes. We found that an adaptive strategy was most effective, especially when tailored to the polycyclic nature of the pest. This underscored the need for specific delimiting approaches based on the epidemiological characteristics of the target pest.