Predictive equation derived from 6,497 doubly labelled water measurements enables the detection of erroneous self-reported energy intake
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Nutritional epidemiology aims to link dietary exposures to chronic disease, but the instruments for evaluating dietary intake are inaccurate. One way to identify unreliable data and the sources of errors is to compare estimated intakes with the total energy expenditure (TEE). In this study, we used the International Atomic Energy Agency Doubly Labeled Water Database to derive a predictive equation for TEE using 6,497 measures of TEE in individuals aged 4 to 96 years. The resultant regression equation predicts expected TEE from easily acquired variables, such as body weight, age and sex, with 95% predictive limits that can be used to screen for misreporting by participants in dietary studies. We applied the equation to two large datasets (National Diet and Nutrition Survey and National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey) and found that the level of misreporting was 27.4%. The macronutrient composition from dietary reports in these studies was systematically biased as the level of misreporting increased, leading to potentially spurious associations between diet components and body mass index.
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Acknowledgements: We are grateful to the IAEA, Taiyo Nippon Sanso and SERCON for their support and to T. Oono for his tremendous efforts at fundraising on our behalf. We are grateful to D. Tobias for many insightful comments on a previous draft of this paper. We also acknowledge contributors to the database whose data were not used in this compilation or who indicated they did not wish to be authors or who could not be contacted. A list of these contributors is provided in the Supplementary Information. We also gratefully acknowledge funding from the Chinese Academy of Sciences (grant no. CAS 153E11KYSB20190015) and Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Metabolic Health (ZDSYS20210427152400001) awarded to J.R.S. and from the US National Science Foundation (BCS-1824466) awarded to H.P. The funders played no role in the content of this paper. The IAEA Doubly Labeled Water (DLW) Database is generously supported by the IAEA, Taiyo Nippon Sanso and SERCON.
Funder: Shenzhen Key Laboratory of Metabolic Health (ZDSYS20210427152400001)
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National Science Foundation (NSF) (BCS-1824466)

