Change in iceberg calving behavior preceded North Sea ice shelf disintegration during the last deglaciation
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Abstract Understanding how regime shifts in iceberg calving behavior affect ice shelf stability remains a challenge for numerical models. This is an important question as we consider the fate of the ice shelves that currently buttress the Antarctic Ice Sheet and hold back the bulk of its potential upstream sea-level contribution. Using buried landforms, we demonstrate that ice shelves fringed the former British-Irish Ice Sheet (BIIS) and document their disintegration ~18,000 years ago. The ice shelves produced massive (5–10 s km wide, 50–180 m thick) tabular icebergs until widespread ice shelf break-up shifted the calving regime to smaller bergs; a change that coincided with the collapse of marine-based ice across the central North Sea. We propose that the BIIS reached a climatic threshold around 18 ka which caused massive surface melting of its ice shelves, triggering hydrofracturing of crevasses that ultimately led to their disintegration and likely enhanced ice-retreat rates.
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Acknowledgements: We thank BP, Harbour Energy, CNOOC, Equinor Energy AS, Lundin Energy Norway AS, Petoro AS, Aker BP ASA, TotalEnergies EP Norge AS and TGS for access and permission to publish images extracted from the HR3D seismic data and the Central North Sea MegaSurveyPlus. S&P Global and Schlumberger are thanked for providing academic seismic interpretation software licenses. J.D.K. was supported by the Natural Environment Research Council (grant NE/L002507/1). K.A.H., R.D.L. and C.-D.H. were supported by the Natural Environment Research Council – British Antarctic Survey Polar Science for a Sustainable Planet programme. J.C.E. was supported by a NERC independent research fellowship (NE/R014574/1). C.D.C. was supported by the European Research Council (PalGlac; Grant Agreement No. 787263). The interpretations made in this paper are the views of the authors and not necessarily those of the license owners.
Funder: EC | EC Seventh Framework Programm | FP7 Ideas: European Research Council (FP7-IDEAS-ERC - Specific Programme: "Ideas" Implementing the Seventh Framework Programme of the European Community for Research, Technological Development and Demonstration Activities (2007 to 2013)); doi: https://doi.org/10.13039/100011199; Grant(s): 787263
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RCUK | NERC | British Antarctic Survey (BAS) (British Antarctic Survey Polar Science for a Sustainable Planet programme, British Antarctic Survey Polar Science for a Sustainable Planet programme, British Antarctic Survey Polar Science for a Sustainable Planet programme)