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Modelling the housing market in OECD countries


Type

Article

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Authors

González, AR 

Abstract

Recent episodes of housing bubbles, which occurred in several economies after the burst of the United States housing market, suggest studying the evolution of housing prices from a global perspective. We utilise a theoretical model for the purposes of this contribution, which identifies the main drivers of housing price appreciation, as for example, income, residential investment, financial elements, fiscal policy and demographics. In a second stage of our analysis, we test our theoretical hypothesis by means of a sample of 18 OECD countries from 1970 to 2011. We employ the vector error correction econometric technique in terms of our empirical analysis, which permits us to model the long-run equilibrium relationship and the short-run dynamics, which also helps to account for endogeneity and reverse causality problems.

Description

Keywords

empirical modelling, housing market, vector error correction modelling, OECD countries

Journal Title

International Review of Applied Economics

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

0269-2171
1465-3486

Volume Title

28

Publisher

Taylor & Francis