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Fundamental Drivers of Dependence in REIT Returns


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Authors

Alcock, Jamie 
Steiner, Eva 

Abstract

We analyse the empirical relationships between firm fundamentals and the dependence structure between individual REIT and stock market returns. In contrast to previous studies, we distinguish between the average systematic risk of REITs and their asymmetric risk in the sense of a disproportionate likelihood of joint negative return clusters between REITs and the stock market. We find that REITs with low systematic risk are typically small, with low short-term momentum, low turnover, high growth opportunities and strong long-term momentum. Holding systematic risk constant, the main driving forces of asymmetric risk are leverage and, to some extent, short-term momentum. Specifically, we find that leverage has an asymmetric effect on REIT return dependence that outweighs the extent to which it increases the average sensitivity of REIT equity to market fluctuations, explaining the strong negative impact of leverage on firm performance especially during crisis periods that has been documented in recent empirical work.

Description

This is the author accepted manuscript. It is currently under an indefinite embargo pending publication by Springer.

Keywords

portfolio diversification, REITs, real estate as an asset class

Journal Title

The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

0895-5638
1573-045X

Volume Title

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Sponsorship
We gratefully acknowledge financial support from RERI. Eva Steiner further acknowledges support from the Cambridge Endowment for Research in Finance.