Repository logo
 

A Stock Market Trading System Using Deep Neural Network

Accepted version
Peer-reviewed

Type

Conference Object

Change log

Authors

Yong, Bang Xiang 
ABDULLAH, AHMAD SHAHIDAN 
ABDUL RAHIM, MOHD ROZAINI 

Abstract

The stock market prediction is a lucrativefield of interest withpromising profit and covered with landmines for the unprecedented. The mar-kets are complex, non-linear and chaotic in nature which poses huge difficultiesto predict the prices accurately. In this paper, a stock trading system utilizingfeed-forward deep neural network (DNN) to forecast index price of Singaporestock market using the FTSE Straits Time Index (STI) in t days ahead is pro-posed and tested through market simulations on historical daily prices. There are40 input nodes of DNN which are the past 10 days’opening, closing, minimumand maximum prices and consist of 3 hidden layers with 10 neurons per layer.The training algorithm used is stochastic gradient descent with back-propagationand is accelerated with multi-core processing. A trading system is proposedwhich utilizes the DNN forecasting results with defined entry and exit rules toenter a trade. DNN performance is evaluated using RMSE and MAPE. Theoverall trading system shows promising results with a profit factor of 18.67,70.83% profitable trades and Sharpe ratio of 5.34 based on market simulation ontest data.

Description

Keywords

38 Economics, 3502 Banking, Finance and Investment, 3801 Applied Economics, 35 Commerce, Management, Tourism and Services

Journal Title

Conference Name

17TH ASIA SIMULATION CONFERENCE

Journal ISSN

1865-0929
1865-0937

Volume Title

751

Publisher

Springer Singapore

Rights

All rights reserved