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High-dimensional regression in practice: an empirical study of finite-sample prediction, variable selection and ranking

Accepted version
Peer-reviewed

Type

Article

Change log

Authors

Wang, Fan 
Mukherjee, Sach 
Hill, Steven M 

Abstract

Penalized likelihood approaches are widely used for high-dimensional regression. Although many methods have been proposed and the associated theory is now well-developed, the relative efficacy of different approaches in finite-sample settings, as encountered in practice, remains incompletely understood. There is therefore a need for empirical investigations in this area that can offer practical insight and guidance to users. In this paper we present a large-scale comparison of penalized regression methods. We distinguish between three related goals: prediction, variable selection and variable ranking. Our results span more than 2,300 data-generating scenarios, including both synthetic and semi-synthetic data (real covariates and simulated responses), allowing us to systematically consider the influence of various factors (sample size, dimensionality, sparsity, signal strength and multicollinearity). We consider several widely-used approaches (Lasso, Adaptive Lasso, Elastic Net, Ridge Regression, SCAD, the Dantzig Selector and Stability Selection). We find considerable variation in performance between methods. Our results support a "no panacea" view, with no unambiguous winner across all scenarios or goals, even in this restricted setting where all data align well with the assumptions underlying the methods. The study allows us to make some recommendations as to which approaches may be most (or least) suitable given the goal and some data characteristics. Our empirical results complement existing theory and provide a resource to compare methods across a range of scenarios and metrics.

Description

Keywords

Simulation Study, High-dimensional regression, Penalized regression, Lasso, Variable Selection, Prediction

Journal Title

Statistics and Computing

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

0960-3174
1573-1375

Volume Title

Publisher

Springer Nature

Rights

All rights reserved
Sponsorship
MRC (unknown)
This work was supported by the UK Medical Research Council (University Unit Programme numbers MC UU 00002/2 and MC UU 00002/10).