Risk for Transportation of Coronavirus Disease from Wuhan to Other Cities in China.
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Peer-reviewed
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Abstract
On January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan to 369 other cities in China before the quarantine. Expected COVID-19 risk is >50% in 130 (95% CI 89-190) cities and >99% in the 4 largest metropolitan areas.
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Keywords
2019 novel coronavirus disease, COVID-19, China, SARS-CoV-2, Wuhan, coronavirus, epidemiology, importation, outbreak, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, viruses, Betacoronavirus, COVID-19, China, Cities, Coronavirus Infections, Disease Outbreaks, Forecasting, Humans, Models, Statistical, Pandemics, Pneumonia, Viral, Quarantine, Risk Assessment, SARS-CoV-2, Stochastic Processes, Transportation
Journal Title
Emerg Infect Dis
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Journal ISSN
1080-6040
1080-6059
1080-6059
Volume Title
26
Publisher
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
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Except where otherwised noted, this item's license is described as Attribution 4.0 International