Risk for Transportation of Coronavirus Disease from Wuhan to Other Cities in China.
Published version
Peer-reviewed
Repository URI
Repository DOI
Change log
Authors
Du, Zhanwei
Cauchemez, Simon
Xu, Xiaoke
Wang, Xianwen
Abstract
On January 23, 2020, China quarantined Wuhan to contain coronavirus disease (COVID-19). We estimated the probability of transportation of COVID-19 from Wuhan to 369 other cities in China before the quarantine. Expected COVID-19 risk is >50% in 130 (95% CI 89-190) cities and >99% in the 4 largest metropolitan areas.
Description
Keywords
2019 novel coronavirus disease, COVID-19, China, SARS-CoV-2, Wuhan, coronavirus, epidemiology, importation, outbreak, severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, viruses, Betacoronavirus, COVID-19, China, Cities, Coronavirus Infections, Disease Outbreaks, Forecasting, Humans, Models, Statistical, Pandemics, Pneumonia, Viral, Quarantine, Risk Assessment, SARS-CoV-2, Stochastic Processes, Transportation
Journal Title
Emerg Infect Dis
Conference Name
Journal ISSN
1080-6040
1080-6059
1080-6059
Volume Title
26
Publisher
Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC)
