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Geographically weighted temporally correlated logistic regression model.

Published version
Peer-reviewed

Type

Article

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Authors

Lam, Kwok-Fai 
Lam, Tommy Tsan-Yuk  ORCID logo  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9769-1527

Abstract

Detecting the temporally and spatially varying correlations is important to understand the biological and disease systems. Here we proposed a geographically weighted temporally correlated logistic regression (GWTCLR) model to identify such dynamic correlation of predictors on binomial outcome data, by incorporating spatial and temporal information for joint inference. The local likelihood method is adopted to estimate the spatial relationship, while the smoothing method is employed to estimate the temporal variation. We present the construction and implementation of GWTCLR and the study of the asymptotic properties of the proposed estimator. Simulation studies were conducted to evaluate the robustness of the proposed model. GWTCLR was applied on real epidemiologic data to study the climatic determinants of human seasonal influenza epidemics. Our method obtained results largely consistent with previous studies but also revealed certain spatial and temporal varying patterns that were unobservable by previous models and methods.

Description

Keywords

Epidemics, Humans, Influenza, Human, Logistic Models, Models, Theoretical, Spatial Regression

Journal Title

Sci Rep

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

2045-2322
2045-2322

Volume Title

8

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC