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AlphaFold predictions are valuable hypotheses and accelerate but do not replace experimental structure determination.

Published version
Peer-reviewed

Repository DOI


Type

Article

Change log

Authors

Terwilliger, Thomas C  ORCID logo  https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6384-0320
Liebschner, Dorothee  ORCID logo  https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3921-3209
Williams, Christopher J  ORCID logo  https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5808-8768
McCoy, Airlie J 

Abstract

Artificial intelligence-based protein structure prediction methods such as AlphaFold have revolutionized structural biology. The accuracies of these predictions vary, however, and they do not take into account ligands, covalent modifications or other environmental factors. Here, we evaluate how well AlphaFold predictions can be expected to describe the structure of a protein by comparing predictions directly with experimental crystallographic maps. In many cases, AlphaFold predictions matched experimental maps remarkably closely. In other cases, even very high-confidence predictions differed from experimental maps on a global scale through distortion and domain orientation, and on a local scale in backbone and side-chain conformation. We suggest considering AlphaFold predictions as exceptionally useful hypotheses. We further suggest that it is important to consider the confidence in prediction when interpreting AlphaFold predictions and to carry out experimental structure determination to verify structural details, particularly those that involve interactions not included in the prediction.

Description

Keywords

3101 Biochemistry and Cell Biology, 31 Biological Sciences, Generic health relevance

Journal Title

Nat Methods

Conference Name

Journal ISSN

1548-7091
1548-7105

Volume Title

Publisher

Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Sponsorship
Wellcome Trust (209407/Z/17/Z)
National Institute of General Medical Sciences (P01GM063210)