Predicted climate change will increase the truffle cultivation potential in central Europe
Authors
Čejka, Tomáš
Trnka, Miroslav
Krusic, Paul J.
Stobbe, Ulrich
Oliach, Daniel
Václavík, Tomáš
Tegel, Willy
Büntgen, Ulf
Publication Date
2020-12-04Journal Title
Scientific Reports
Publisher
Nature Publishing Group UK
Volume
10
Issue
1
Language
en
Type
Article
This Version
VoR
Metadata
Show full item recordCitation
Čejka, T., Trnka, M., Krusic, P. J., Stobbe, U., Oliach, D., Václavík, T., Tegel, W., & et al. (2020). Predicted climate change will increase the truffle cultivation potential in central Europe. Scientific Reports, 10 (1) https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-76177-0
Abstract
Abstract: Climate change affects the distribution of many species, including Burgundy and Périgord truffles in central and southern Europe, respectively. The cultivation potential of these high-prized cash crops under future warming, however, remains highly uncertain. Here we perform a literature review to define the ecological requirements for the growth of both truffle species. This information is used to develop niche models, and to estimate their cultivation potential in the Czech Republic under current (2020) and future (2050) climate conditions. The Burgundy truffle is already highly suitable for cultivation on ~ 14% of agricultural land in the Czech Republic (8486 km2), whereas only ~ 8% of the warmest part of southern Moravia are currently characterised by a low suitability for Périgord truffles (6418 km2). Though rising temperatures under RCP8.5 will reduce the highly suitable cultivation areas by 7%, the 250 km2 (3%) expansion under low-emission scenarios will stimulate Burgundy truffles to benefit from future warming. Doubling the moderate and expanding the highly suitable land by 352 km2 in 2050, the overall cultivation potential for Périgord truffles will rise substantially. Our findings suggest that Burgundy and Périgord truffles could become important high-value crops for many regions in central Europe with alkaline soils. Although associated with uncertainty, long-term investments in truffle cultivation could generate a wide range of ecological and economic benefits.
Keywords
Article, /704/106/694/2739, /704/106/694/682, /704/106/694/2786, /704/158/2456, /704/158/670, /704/158/2165, /704/158/672, /704/158/1144, /704/158/2445, /704/158/2458, /631/158/2456, /631/158/852, /631/158/2165, /631/158/672, /631/158/1144, /631/158/2445, /631/158/2458, article
Sponsorship
Ministerstvo Školství, Mládeže a Tělovýchovy (CZ.02.1.01/0.0/0.0/16_019/0000797)
Masarykova Univerzita (MUNI/A/1356/2019)
Identifiers
s41598-020-76177-0, 76177
External DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-76177-0
This record's URL: https://www.repository.cam.ac.uk/handle/1810/314761
Rights
Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)
Licence URL: https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/
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